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Report of the CCSM Polar Climate Working Group Meeting
Fifth Annual Community Climate System Model Workshop
Co-Chairs: Dick
Moritz and Elizabeth Hunke
The Village at Breckenridge, 28 June 2000
The CCSM Polar
Climate Working Group (PCWG) met on Wednesday, 28 June 2000, in Breckenridge,
Colorado, as part of the Fifth Annual CCSM Workshop. A list of attendees is at
the end of this report. The working
group meeting was preceded by presentations by D. Moritz and C. Bitz in the
CCSM plenary session on Tuesday. These
presentations brought the community up to date on the status of the CCSM sea
ice model and studies by members of the PCWG using the coupled CCSM ice-ocean
model and other CCSM components.
I. Studies of Sea Ice Related to CCSM
A. The Current CCSM
Sea Ice Model (CSIM)
Previous PCWG
meetings outlined goals for upgrading the CSIM, which now largely have
been achieved. As a result of efforts by many individuals, the CSIM currently includes
[workforce noted in brackets]:
Regarding other model
issues discussed in the September, 1999 and January, 2000 PCWG meetings:
Regarding
sensitivity studies proposed in the September, 2000 meeting:
B. The "Active-Ice-Only" Framework
A primary objective
established at the September, 1999 PCWG ice modeling meeting was to develop an
"active-ice-only" framework for testing the ice model
parameterizations and sensitivities. Bruce Briegleb developed this framework at NCAR, which consists of the
CSIM, an ocean slab mixed layer, "dummy" models for the atmosphere
and land, and a coupler similar to that used in the full CCSM. Development of
the framework also included compilation of data sets suitable for forcing the
ice model. Briegleb has collected such data and
adjusted them to better match reliable observations in the polar regions. The active-ice-only framework has been used
for two studies that were reported on during the June, 2000 PCWG meeting, one
concerned with the ice model (Briegleb) and the other concerned with ice/upper
ocean feedbacks (Holland).
Bruce Briegleb
compared the results from the current CSIM (on the x3' "Greenland"
displaced pole grid) with a previous CSM1 ice model run (on a rotated spherical
grid). In the first comparison,
parameters in the new CSIM were selected to mimic the physics of the old
CSM1. For example, the ITD resolved
only one category of ice, and the MPDATA advection scheme was run in upwind
mode. Surface forcing data sets were
derived from the CSM1 run. This
comparison provided an opportunity to compare simulations using essentially the
same physics, but with one integration based on new code, a new computer (the
IBM Blackforest), and a new grid (POP). Although the new model produced increased ice area in both hemispheres,
Briegleb concluded from the comparison that the new model code was running properly on the
IBM and on the POP grid. The new model
physics were then turned back on, and numerical integrations performed to test
them, forced by both CCM/CSM outputs and NCEP/ISCCP data sets. Initial results show that the summer ice
area coverage is low compared to observations in the Arctic, and the range of
the annual cycle in total ice volume
is larger than observed. In the
Antarctic, summer minimum ice volume compares well with estimates based on
satellite and isolated thickness data, while the winter maximum is high. Meridional transport of sea ice around
Antarctica showed large differences between the different model runs.
C. Linear Remapping
ITD Scheme
During Wednesday's
PCWG meeting, Bill Lipscomb presented preliminary comparisons between the
remapping and delta-function ITD schemes using his column model. Results indicate that the remapping scheme
better resolves the thin end of the thickness distribution and that transitions
between categories are smoother throughout the seasonal cycle. In the delta-function scheme, all
of the ice must be transferred when the category thickness reaches a
boundary through thermodynamic growth or melt. In the linear
remapping scheme, the distribution of ice between two category boundaries is
assumed to be linear (instead of a delta function), and only a portion of the
ice is transferred from one category to another due to thermodynamic growth or
melt, resulting in a much smoother distribution with all categories
participating. This scheme may also
relieve the B-grid checkerboard instability that appears with the
delta-function ITD (the reason that the current CSIM is most frequently
integrated using the upwind advection option instead of second-order MPDATA).
We envision that both schemes will be available as part of CSIM, although
discussions among PCWG members should
decide which is recommended to the SSC as part of the standard model.
II. Studies of the Polar Atmosphere Using
CCSM
A. Uma Bhatt presented initial results from a
study of natural variability in the CSM1 coupled model. In particular, the CSM1 results exhibit an
observed dipole in sea ice extent between the Sea of Okhotsk and the Bering
Sea, evident in the second EOF. Bhatt
proposes to use the model output for forcing the atmospheric model alone to
investigate the dipole's contribution to Northern Hemisphere atmospheric
variability.
B. In their presentations during Tuesday's
plenary session, both D. Moritz and C. Bitz indicated the importance of
improving the simulation of the polar atmosphere by CCSM and CCM. Output from new CCM model runs with improved
parameterizations is needed for analysis by the PCWG to aid in diagnosing and solving the problems
observed in CSM1 simulations. Bitz
demonstrated conclusively that the poor ice distribution simulated by CSM1 is
related to modeled surface pressure/winds, rather than a problem internal to
the sea ice model--an identical simulation using NCEP reanalysis winds yields
an ice distribution more in line with observations, with thicker ice near Greenland and Canada instead of on
the Siberian side of the Arctic basin. Moritz
noted that in addition to poor polar surface pressure simulations, cloud and
radiation biases present in the CCSM atmosphere model may be contributing to
problems with coupling in the polar regions. Moritz, Bitz, and Boville have just begun a project to examine how
horizontal resolution of atmospheric dynamics, orography, and surface heating
affect the polar atmospheric circulation simulated by CCM.
III. Coupled Model Simulations
A. During the ocean working group meeting
Wednesday morning, G. Danabasoglu reported on coupled ice-ocean simulations
using the most recent versions of the CCSM sea ice and ocean models that he and
B. Briegleb have been running. Danabasoglu focused his talk on bugs that cause imbalances in the ocean
tracer budgets, but he also noted that the sea surface temperature is highly
sensitive to the method used to determine the amount of new ice growth in the
ocean. This problem of balancing the
surface heat budget apparently originates with the advection scheme used in the
ocean model. In the PCWG meeting
Wednesday afternoon, Briegleb summed up the sea ice results: simulated Arctic
ice is too thin, while the Antarctic simulation is "pretty
good."
B. Tony Craig reported that the NCAR PCM group
is running the current CCSM model in fully coupled mode (ocean-ice-atmosphere)
on the POP <2/3 degree> displaced pole grid, but using a different
coupler than that used by the CSM group. They are forging a path through bugs and coupling issues contributing to
an unexpectedly strong ice-atmosphere feedback and will be able to provide
helpful insight when the rest of us begin to attack the fully coupled problem.
C. Marika Holland reported on studies of the
sensitivity of CSIM variability to the ice-ocean feedback mechanism associated
with the effect of solar radiation absorbed in leads on the heat flux from the ocean
to the ice. Four integrations were
performed, two with 5-category ITD and two with 1-category ITD. One of each pair of runs was performed with
the ocean/ice heat flux feedback turned off, i.e., the ocean-to-ice heat flux
was prescribed, and did not respond to variations in the solar flux absorbed in
the leads. The experiments were forced with atmospheric
data from the years 1948-1998. The
1-category ITD produces lower ice concentration in summer than the 5-cateogry
run. More than 80% of the
simulated ice concentration anomaly variance is due to
the feedback mechanism, as well as 60% of the anomaly variance in mean ice
thickness. From these results it was
suggested that this feedback may be too strong in the new model.
IV. Discussion
Notes
J. Curry asked
whether lateral melt was playing a major role in feedbacks in the AIO
simulations. B. Briegleb indicated it
was not the major contributor to the melt.
P. Gent noted that
differences in the sea ice simulations performed in the AIO mode and the
coupled ocean/ice mode were larger in the Antarctic than in the Arctic. He suggests PCWG look at the sensitivity of
the model results to uncertainties in the forcing functions used, and compare
that to the sensitivity of results to changing model physics and
parameters.
W. Washington asked
whether the new albedo parameterization in CSIM makes a large difference. B. Briegleb replied that there are
differences, but they are modest.
E. Hunke suggested
diagnostic analysis of the simulated fraction of snow ice in the Antarctic sea
ice zone, because this ice type is significant there.
J. Curry and E. Hunke
suggested lists of items to pursue in further CSIM development including: spectral radiative transfer through ice;
snow distribution and morphology, especially during the transition seasons;
keel ablation; rafting versus ridging processes; snow ice formation; pancake
and frazil ice; drag coefficients; and roughness length effects.
C. Bitz expressed
some concern that we are testing CSIM in the AIO and coupled ice/ocean mode but
not coupled to the atmosphere, except the early work by the PCM group.
V. Future Plans
1. Assemble improved forcing and verification
data sets for use in the AIO
experimental framework. A candidate is
the most recent re-analyses done by ECMWF.
2. Assess the effects of horizontal resolution
on the CCM-simulated atmospheric circulation over the Arctic.
3. Perform sensitivity studies in the AIO
framework to compare the effects of changing model physics and parameters to
the effects of uncertainties in the forcing functions.
4. Six-month CSIM outlook: The PCWG expects to deliver to the SSC, and
release to the community, a well-documented, well-tested CSIM by the end of
calendar 2000. This model will include
a plastic rheology with an elliptical yield curve; a multiple-category ice
thickness distribution; enhanced thermodynamics including multiple-level
internal ice temperatures in each ice thickness category; and enhanced surface
albedo parameterization, running on the POP grid for compatibility with the
CCSM ocean model, compatible with the CCSM coupler* and running on the parallel
IBM machines at NCAR.
*Either the current
coupler or a new coupler if the latter can be developed, debugged, tested, and
provided to the PCWG by September, 2000.
The CSIM is basically
complete, as defined by PCWG model goals decided in previous meetings. Besides further model testing to work out
remaining bugs and coupling issues, the primary job left to do before releasing
the code to the public involves cleaning up the code (for example, removing and
combining redundant routines), and updating the code documentation. Members of the PCWG have agreed to make the
code clean-up a priority [Hunke, Bitz, Craig]. Documentation will proceed from
the existing draft progress report (by Briegleb and Schramm, Moritz will assist
here) and the existing on-line documentation of CICE (Hunke). The clean-up crew will also keep their eyes
open for possible efficiency improvements.
Many ideas for
improving CSIM parameterizations were floated during the PCWG meeting on
Wednesday (see section 4, following). While most of these will probably not make it into CSIM in the next six
months, at least two are possible:
a) Linear remapping ITD scheme of Lipscomb
(2000). This scheme has been
implemented in CICE at LANL, and comparisons between it and the delta-function
scheme currently standard in CSIM are being performed.
b) improved algorithm for spectral radiative
transfer through the ice. "This
should be easy," as they say, and J. Curry believes it will make a
considerable difference.
VI. Longer-term Outlook:
Other possible
improvements to CSIM are being explored by various members of the PCWG at many
different institutions. The following
list is in no particular order. [J. Curry spearheaded this discussion.]
VI. List of Attendees
|
FirstName |
LastName |
email |
|
Michael |
Alexander |
maa@cdc.noaa.gov |
|
Todd |
Arbetter |
arbetter@cloud.colorado.edu |
|
Uma |
Bhatt |
bhatt@iarc.uaf.edu |
|
Cecilia |
Bitz |
bitz@atmos.washington.edu |
|
Maurice |
Blackmon |
blackmon@ucar.edu |
|
Bruce |
Briegleb |
bruceb@ucar.edu |
|
David |
Bromwich |
bromwich.1@osu.edu |
|
Lawrence |
Buja |
southern@ucar.edu |
|
Anthony |
Craig |
tcraig@ucar.edu |
|
Judith |
Curry |
curryja@cloud.colorado.edu |
|
Gokhan |
Danabasoglu |
gokhan@ncar.ucar.edu |
|
Dmitriy |
Dukhovskoy |
dmitri@ims.uaf.edu |
|
Jay |
Fein |
jfein@nsf.gov |
|
Peter |
Gent |
gent@ucar.edu |
|
Cecile |
Hannay |
cecile@iarc.uaf.edu |
|
Marika |
Holland |
mholland@ucar.edu |
|
Elizabeth |
Hunke |
eclare@lanl.gov |
|
Phil |
Jones |
pwjones@lanl.gov |
|
William |
Lipscomb |
lipscomb@lanl.gov |
|
Robert |
Malone |
rcm@lanl.gov |
|
Mathew |
Maltrud |
maltrud@lanl.gov |
|
Richard |
Moritz |
dickm@apl.washington.edu |
|
Julie |
Schramm |
schramm@ucar.edu |
|
Susan |
Solomon |
solomon@al.noaa.gov |
|
Warren |
Washington |
wmw@ucar.edu |
|
Yuxia |
Zhang |
zhangy@ucar.edu |