| 1. |
What are the carbon/climate
feedbacks?
How are the natural carbon and climate cycles coupled on
seasonal, interannual, decadal, and centennial time scales? How do
carbon-climate interactions affect historical and future atmospheric
CO2 and climate on centennial time scales?
Experiments:
- Coupled carbon simulations using simple land and ocean
biogeochemistry in CSM1 carbon cycle - runs going now.
(Fung/Doney/Lindsay/?Keller?)
- Coupled land/atmosphere carbon cycle in CCSM3
(C4MIP-Casa'/CCSM3)
(Hoffman/Fung/John/Levis/Mahowald) - ready
- Coupled land/ocean/atmosphere in CCSM3 using simple
terrestrial and ocean carbon (CASA' and OCMIP')
(Hoffman/Fung/Doney/John/Lindsay/Murphy/Mahowald)
|
| 2. |
How do biogeochemical cycles
of nitrogen, iron, and sulfur (and other nutrients) influence
carbon/climate feedbacks?
|
| |
2.1 |
How does nitrogen cycling modify
carbon/climate feedbacks?
|
| |
|
Experiments:
- Coupled carbon with nitrogen (no ocean)--C4MIP-CLM-CN/CCSM3
(Thornton/Mahowald) - almost
ready
- Offline future nitrogen deposition impacts on CLM/CN - Santa
Fe (Lamarque/Thornton/Holland)
- Coupled carbon with nitrogen (land and ocean) CCSM3 (CLM-CN,
Ecosystem)
(Thornton/Moore/Lindsay/Doney/Mahowald)
- Coupled Chemistry/CAM/CLM-CN/Ocean-ECO (Lamarque/Thornton/Moore/Lindsay
/Holland)
|
| |
2.2 |
How does iron impact atmospheric CO2 and
climate? (Mahowald/Moore/Thornton/Zender/Doney)
|
| |
2.3 |
How important are ocean sediment/ocean
biogeochemistry interactions for carbon uptake by the ocean?
(Moore/Elliott/Martin/Sundquist)
|
| |
2.4 |
How does ocean biogeochemistry affect
non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gases and climate?
(Elliott/Moore/Nevison/Keller)
|
| |
2.5 |
How do changes in terrestrial biosphere
and dust in last glacial maximum impact the ocean biogeochemistry and
atmospheric carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, and DMS? (Moore/Mahowald/Thornton/Bonan/Collins/Otto-Bliesner/Elliott/Zender)
|
| |
2.6 |
How does phosphorus cycling modify the
carbon/climate interaction?
(gap - terrestrial phosphorus, riverine, atmospheric (Mahowald),
weathering??)
|
| 3. |
How do reactive chemistry and
aerosols change and respond to biogeochemical processes, clouds, and
climate?
|
| |
3.1 |
How do changing anthropogenic emissions
impact ozone and thereby impact terrestrial productivity, atmospheric
composition, and climate (including biogenic emissions)?
(Hess/Thornton/King/Holland/ Wiedinmyer/Lamarque/Mahowald)
|
| |
3.2 |
How does changing anthropogenic activity
impact aerosols and thereby impact terrestrial productivity,
atmospheric composition, and climate? (Colllins/Erickson/Mahowald/Rasch/Lamarque/Hess/Wiedinmyer/Thornton/Bonan)
|
| |
3.3 |
What feedbacks occur in the natural
aerosol-cloud interactions to modulate climate in the past, present,
and future (e.g., DMS, dust, sea salts, fires)?
DMS (Elliott/Lamarque/Erickson/Rasch/Collins/Otto-Bliesner)
Dust/sea salts/biomass burning black carbon (Mahowald/Levis/ Rasch/Zender/Collins/Thornton/Randerson/Otto-Bliesner)
Biogenic secondary organic aerosol (Lamarque/Wiedinmyer/ Mahowald/Collins/Hess/Orlando)
|
| |
3.4 |
How are humans modifying clouds and
thereby climate through changing aerosol emissions? (Rasch/Ghan/Mahowald/Jensen/Rogers)
|
| |
3.5 |
How did the oxidative capacity change
with Holocene and Pleistocene climate?
(Hess/Lamarque/Wiedinmyer/Otto-Bliesner)
|
| |
3.6 |
How do volcanoes impact the terrestrial
biosphere? (Randerson/Zender/Thornton/Mahowald)
|
| 4. |
How do land use, land cover
change, and water use modify biogeochemical processes?
|
| |
4.1 |
How does land use modify biogenic
emissions, and thereby modify atmospheric chemistry? (Holland/Weidinmyer/Hess/Levis/Lamarque/ King/Guenther/Bonan)
|
| |
4.2 |
How do land management and disturbance
history modify carbon storage and carbon/climate feedbacks?
(Thornton/Bonan/Mahowald/Randerson/King)
|
| |
4.3 |
How does fire modify atmospheric
chemistry? (Emmons/Hess/Lamarque/Wiedinmyer/Thornton/Mahowald/Randerson/Rasch/Collins)
|
| |
4.4 |
How does human water use modify
biogeochemistry, atmospheric composition and climate? (gap)
|
| 5. |
How do hydrological and
biogeochemical cycles interact?
|
| |
5.1 |
How important is land/sea runoff for
ocean biogeochemistry? (Moore/Nevison/Famiglietti/Sundquist/Branstetter/Rosenbloom/gap
from coastal impacts)
|
| |
5.2 |
How do wetlands change and respond to
climate? (gap--wetlands-Lamarque/Hess/Bonan//Levis/Holland/Rosenbloom)
|
| |
5.3 |
What is the coupling between the
hydrological and carbon cycles? (Bonan/Thornton/Lettenmaier)
|
| |
5.4 |
Coastal-open ocean coupling/regional
modeling (Doney, gap...)
|
Developmental needs:
|
| |
Land model:
- Improved hydrological model (including):
- Dynamic lake levels
- Subsurface flow
- Human water use (reservoirs, irrigation, ...)
- Wetlands
- Riverine transport
- Coastal zones
- High resolution grid
- Urban grid cells
- Updating BVOCs
- Phosphorus cycle
- Historical/future? land use disturbance/land-use (and
parameterization)
- Tracers in land model (isotopes)
- NO, N2O emissions from soils
- Fire emissions
Atmospheric Chemistry model:
- Higher resolution grid/urban for chemistry
- Secondary organic aerosol composition
- Aerosol microphysics (internal mixtures)
- Aerosol-cloud microphysics (in progress but could be done
better)
- Fire plume model (chemistry within the plume-wildfire
initiative???)
- Time varying emissions of reactive chemicals
- Wetland emissions
Ocean model:
- Coastal ocean parameterization/nested regional models of
biogeochemistry and physics
- Virtual flux/natural boundary conditions for tracers
- Ocean sediment model
- Methane and N2O emissions in ocean biogeochemistry
- VOC emissions from oceans
- Validated off-line tracer code
Atmosphere model:
- Downscaling of atmospheric boundary layer to higher resolution
land
- Water isotopes
For all modules: diagnostic tracers for biogeochemical
processes (carbon dioxide and water isotopes in land, atmosphere and
ocean, C13 fractionation (non MHC, CO>CO2), Sulfur isotopes; C14, HDO,
H2dO18, HTO distributions in ocean)
|
| Participant List:
Gordon Bonan, NCAR
Frank Bryan, NCAR
John Drake, ORNL
John Dunne, NOAA
Scott Elliott, LANL
David Erickson, ORNL
Inez Fung, UC Berkeley
Peter Gent, NCAR
Peter Hess, NCAR
Forrest Hoffman, ORNL
Beth Holland, NCAR
Jasmine John, UC Berkeley
Klaus Keller, Pennsylvania State University
Anthony W. King, ORNL
Zav Kothavala, NCAR
J.-F. Lamarque, NCAR
Sam Levis, NCAR
Keith Lindsay, NCAR
Natalie Mahowald, NCAR
Keith Moore, UC Irvine
Sylvia Murphy, NCAR
Bette Otto-Bliesner, NCAR
Synte Peacock, University of Chicago
Nan Rosenbloom, NCAR
Britt Stephens, NCAR
Neil Suits, Colorado State University
Eric Sundquist, USGS
Peter Thornton, NCAR
David X.D. Zeng, University of Arizona |
|